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March 07, 2018 09:24 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: China Feb Economic Data Forecasts
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY Bln) TSF (CNY Bln)
Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 2.5 3.7 8.7 900 1000
High 2.9 4.1 9.2 1500 2200
Low 1.6 3.4 8.3 600 900
Mean 2.5 3.7 8.7 921 1132
No. 20 20 19 19 11
Previous 1.5 4.3 8.6 2900 3060
Bank of China 2.9 3.9 9.2 1100 na
BankComm 2.4 3.5 8.9 900 na
CICC 2.5 3.6 8.5 840 1000
CITIC Sec 2.5 3.5 8.7 800 na
Guohai Sec 2.5 3.4 na 800 na
Guotai Junan 2.8 3.6 8.9 750 1000
HSBC 1.6 3.5 8.6 1500 2200
Huachang Sec 2.4 3.5 8.7 900 na
Huatai Sec 2.7 4.0 8.6 800 1000
IndustrialBank 2.5 3.7 9.1 900 950
ING 2.0 4.1 9.0 1000 na
Merchant Sec 2.7 3.8 8.8 600 1000
Monita Rsrch 2.6 4.0 8.5 1000 1400
Nomura 2.6 3.8 8.8 800 1000
Peking U Rsrch 2.6 3.8 8.6 900 na
Shanghai Sec 2.0 4.0 8.8 1500 na
Shenwan Hongyuan 2.6 3.7 8.3 900 na
Southwest Sec 2.4 3.7 8.5 800 900
Standard
Chartered 2.3 3.7 9.0 700 1000
Zhongtai Sec 2.5 3.8 8.6 na 1000
Trade
Exports Imports Balance Investment Output Retail
Feb Feb ($Bln) Jan-Feb Jan-Feb Jan-Feb
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 12.7 9.3 0.0 7.0 6.2 9.8
High 43.1 22.3 40.0 8.0 7.0 10.6
Low 5.0 -10.0 -24.8 6.0 5.8 8.9
Mean 14.2 8.9 1.6 7.1 6.2 9.8
No. 20 20 17 19 19 19
Previous 11.1 36.9 20.3 7.2 6.2 9.4
Bank of China 20.7 10.0 na 7.0 6.2 10.0
BankComm 8.0 18.0 -24.8 7.2 6.2 9.1
CICC 5.0 -5.0 1.4 7.0 6.1 9.4
CITIC Sec 9.0 18.0 -20.0 7.2 6.1 10.4
Guohai Sec 13.5 22.3 na 7.1 6.1 9.0
Guotai Junan 15.0 9.0 -7.8 7.0 6.3 9.5
HSBC 18.2 4.1 5.2 na na na
Huachang Sec 9.7 4.1 -4.8 6.9 6.0 10.6
Huatai Sec 14.0 7.0 0.0 7.0 6.3 10.5
IndustrialBank 13.0 15.0 -11.0 7.1 6.3 8.9
ING 26.7 9.6 8.4 7.5 7.0 10.0
Merchant Sec 43.1 0.2 40.0 7.5 6.2 10.2
Monita Rsrch 9.0 14.0 18.5 7.2 6.1 9.0
Nomura 8.0 3.0 -5.4 7.0 5.9 9.4
Peking U Rsrch 12.3 18.2 40.0 6.8 6.2 9.8
Shanghai Sec 16.7 15.8 -10.0 8.0 6.5 10.2
Shenwan
Hongyuan 18.0 7.0 1.3 7.2 6.3 10.2
Southwest Sec 8.0 10.0 -14.5 6.0 5.9 9.8
Standard
Chartered 7.0 -10.0 10.3 7.0 5.8 9.8
Zhongtai Sec 9.5 7.6 na 6.8 6.2 10.1
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
February trade data is due for release on Mar 8.
February CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130GMT Mar 9.
February money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between Mar 10 and Mar 15. Date and time uncertain.
Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment for January,
together with the data for February, will be released at 1000 local/0200GMT on
March 14.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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