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MNI DATA SURVEY: China September Economic Data Forecasts

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
                             New
                         Loans        TSF
            GDP   M2        (CNY  (CNY Bln)    Industrial  Investment   Retail
              Q3   Sep      Bln)        Sep    Output Sep      Jan-Sep       Sep
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median       6.6   8.3      1300       1380           6.0          5.3       9.1
High         6.8   8.5      1500       1850           6.7          5.5       9.6
Low          6.5   8.1       700       1120           5.5          5.1       8.7
Mean         6.6   8.3      1258       1428           6.0          5.3       9.1
No.           12    16        15          9            17           17        17
Previous     6.7   8.2      1280       1520           6.1          5.3       9.0
Bank of
China        6.6   8.4      1500         na           6.1          5.3       9.0
China Sec    6.6   8.3      1300         na           6.0          5.3       9.2
CICC          na   8.3      1150       1400           6.0          5.5       9.1
CITIC Sec    6.6   8.1      1400         na           5.8          5.3       8.9
Everbright
Sec           na   8.3        na       1380           6.0          5.1       9.2
Guotai
Junan        6.6   8.3      1450       1350           5.9          5.3       8.9
Haitong
Sec          6.5   8.2     900.0     1120.0           5.9          5.1       9.0
HSBC         6.6   8.5      1100       1375           6.0          5.3       9.1
Huachuang
Sec           na   8.2      1450         na           5.9          5.1       9.1
Huatai Sec   6.7   8.1      1300       1500           6.0          5.5       9.6
ING          6.5   8.2      1300         na           5.5          5.5       8.7
Merchant
Sec           na   8.1      1300       1850           6.3          5.5       9.5
Minsheng
Bank          na   8.3      1300       1500           5.9          5.2       9.0
Moody's      6.6   8.2        na         na           5.9          5.3       8.8
Sealand
Sec          6.6    na      1350         na           6.0          5.3       8.9
Shanghai
Sec          6.8   8.4       700         na           6.7          5.4       9.5
Sino Link
Sec          6.5   8.1      1370       1380           6.1          5.3       9.1
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     September money supply is due for release from October 10-15.
     Q3 GDP, September Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset
investment will be released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on October 19.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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