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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan GDP for April-June Quarter

MNI (Singapore)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for Japan's
preliminary gross domestic product for the April-June quarter provided by
economists surveyed by MNI.
       Friday, Aug. 10, 0850 JST (Aug. 9, 2350 GMT): The Cabinet Office release
preliminary Q2 GDP.
Data                 Median  Previous
-------------------------------------
GDP q/q                 0.2      -0.2
GDP Annualized          1.0      -0.6
Consumption             0.3      -0.1
Capex                   0.6       0.3
Public Investment       0.4      -0.1
Private Inventories     0.0      -0.2
Net Exports             0.1       0.1
                                 GDP
--------------------------------------------------
                               % Q/Q  % Annualized
Median Forecast                  0.2           1.0
High Forecast                    0.5           2.1
Low Forecast                     0.1           0.5
Previous                        -0.2          -0.6
Standard Deviation               0.1           0.5
No. of Responses                   8             8
Sumitomo Mitsui AM               0.5           2.1
Mizuho Research                  0.4           1.6
Daiwa Institute of Research      0.3           1.4
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley    0.2           1.0
Dai-ichi Life Research           0.2           1.0
NLI                              0.2           1.0
SMBC Nikko Securities            0.2           0.7
Japan Research                   0.1           0.5
                               Consumption  Capex  Public Works
---------------------------------------------------------------
                                     % Q/Q  % Q/Q         % Q/Q
Median Forecast                        0.3    0.6           0.4
High Forecast                          0.4    1.0           1.6
Low Forecast                           0.2    0.3          -0.5
Previous                              -0.1    0.3          -0.1
Standard Deviation                     0.1    0.2           0.8
No. of Responses                         8      8             8
Sumitomo Mitsui AM                     0.2    0.6           1.6
Mizuho Research                        0.4    0.5          -0.4
Daiwa Institute of Research            0.2    0.3           0.6
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley          0.3    0.4           0.5
Dai-ichi Life Research                 0.3      1          -0.3
NLI                                    0.2    0.8          -0.5
SMBC Nikko Securities                  0.2    0.4           1.2
Japan Research                         0.4    0.7           0.2
                                Private Inventories            Net Export
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                               % Point Contribution  % Point Contribution
Median Forecast                                 0.0                   0.1
High Forecast                                   0.1                   0.2
Low Forecast                                   -0.2                  -0.1
Previous                                       -0.2                   0.1
Standard Deviation                              0.1                   0.1
No. of Responses                                  8                     8
Sumitomo Mitsui AM                              0.0                   0.2
Mizuho Research                                 0.1                   0.1
Daiwa Institute of Research                     0.1                   0.1
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley                  -0.1                   0.1
Dai-ichi Life Research                         -0.1                   0.0
NLI                                             0.0                   0.1
SMBC Nikko Securities                           0.0                  -0.1
Japan Research                                 -0.2                  -0.1
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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