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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan Jul Jobs, Output, Retail, Tokyo Aug CPI

MNI (Singapore)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in this week.
Date           JST/GMT                Data   Month   Median          Previous
Fri, Aug 30  0830/2330      Tokyo Core CPI     Aug      0.7  % y/y        0.9
Fri, Aug 30  0830/2330   Unemployment Rate     Jul      2.4      %        2.2
Fri, Aug 30  0850/2350   Industrial Output     Jul      0.3  % m/m       -3.3
Fri, Aug 30  0850/2350        Retail Sales     Jul     -0.8  % y/y        0.5
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
                                              Tokyo % y/y
Median Forecast                                       0.7
High Forecast                                         0.8
Low Forecast                                          0.4
Previous Month                                        0.9
Standard Deviation                                    0.1
No. of Responses                                       12
                                              Tokyo % y/y
BNP Paribas                                           0.8
Hamagin Research Institute                            0.8
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                        0.8
Nomura Securities                                     0.8
Norinchukin Research Institute                        0.8
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                      0.7
NLI Research Institute                                0.7
SMBC Nikko Securities                                 0.7
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                      0.7
Japan Research Institute                              0.6
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                0.5
Mizuho Research Institute                             0.4
Unemployment Rate (Seasonally Adjusted)
Median Forecast                          2.4
High Forecast                            2.4
Low Forecast                             2.3
Previous Month                           2.2
Standard Deviation                       0.1
No. of Responses                          13
BNP Paribas                              2.4
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute         2.4
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting   2.4
Mizuho Research Institute                2.4
NLI Research Institute                   2.4
Nomura Securities                        2.4
Norinchukin Research Institute           2.4
Daiwa Institute of Research              2.3
Hamagin Research Institute               2.3
Japan Research Institute                 2.3
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities           2.3
SMBC Nikko Securities                    2.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management         2.3
Preliminary Industrial Production
                                         Change m/m %
Median Forecast                                   0.3
High Forecast                                     1.5
Low Forecast                                     -0.6
Previous Month                                   -3.3
Standard Deviation                                0.6
No. of Responses                                   13
                                         Change m/m %
BNP Paribas                                       1.5
Japan Research Institute                          1.2
NLI Research Institute                            0.9
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting            0.4
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                  0.3
Mizuho Research Institute                         0.3
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                    0.3
Daiwa Institute of Research                       0.2
Norinchukin Research Institute                    0.2
Nomura Securities                                -0.1
SMBC Nikko Securities                            -0.2
Hamagin Research Institute                       -0.5
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                 -0.6
Preliminary Retail Sales
                                         Change y/y %
Median Forecast                                  -0.8
High Forecast                                     0.2
Low Forecast                                     -1.7
Previous Month                                    0.5
Standard Deviation                                0.6
No. of Responses                                   10
                                         Change y/y %
BNP Paribas                                       0.2
Nomura Securities                                 0.1
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting           -0.4
NLI Research Institute                           -0.5
Hamagin Research Institute                       -0.6
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                   -0.9
Mizuho Research Institute                        -1.1
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                 -1.2
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                 -1.6
Japan Research Institute                         -1.7
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email:

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