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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan November Trade Statistics, CPI

MNI (London)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in the coming week.
Date           JST/GMT                Data   Month   Median            Previous
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed, Dec 18  0850/2350             Exports     Nov     -9.1    % y/y       -9.2
Wed, Dec 18  0850/2350             Imports     Nov    -12.5    % y/y      -14.8
Wed, Dec 18  0850/2350       Trade Balance     Nov   -380.0  bln yen       15.7
Fri, Dec 20  0830/2330   National Core CPI     Nov      0.5    % y/y        0.4
Trade Statistics Forecast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                              -9.1     -12.5         -380.0
High Forecast                                -7.2     -10.7         -223.5
Low Forecast                                -10.7     -14.0         -568.6
Previous Month                               -9.2     -14.8           15.7
Standard Deviation                            1.3       1.1           97.4
No. of Responses                               10        10             11
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
BNP Paribas                                   N/A       N/A         -259.4
NLI Research Institute                       -7.2     -13.2         -223.5
SMBC Nikko Securities                        -7.3     -11.3         -379.7
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute             -7.4     -11.3         -385.4
Japan Research Institute                     -7.9     -10.7         -463.1
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting       -8.8     -13.0         -350.0
Nomura Securities                            -9.4     -11.8         -488.0
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities               -9.7     -13.5         -380.0
Norinchukin Research Institute              -10.0     -14.0         -358.5
Daiwa Institute of Research                 -10.1     -13.4         -411.5
Mizuho Research Institute                   -10.7     -11.9         -568.6
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
------------------------------------------------------------
                                              National % y/y
Median Forecast                                          0.5
High Forecast                                            0.6
Low Forecast                                             0.5
Previous Month                                           0.4
Standard Deviation                                       0.0
No. of Responses                                          11
                                              National % y/y
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                         0.6
Daiwa Institute of Research                              0.6
Japan Research Institute                                 0.6
BNP Paribas                                              0.5
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                   0.5
Mizuho Research Institute                                0.5
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                           0.5
NLI Research Institute                                   0.5
Nomura Securities                                        0.5
Norinchukin Research Institute                           0.5
SMBC Nikko Securities                                    0.5
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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