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Free AccessMNI ASIA OPEN: Nov Job Gains, Fed Blackout, CPI/PPI Ahead
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MNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis
28 May 2018
By Kyle Shortland
Please click on this link to access MNI's daily Dollar-Asia FX Technical
Analysis Pdf http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Bears Need Close Below 200-DMA
*RES 4: Sgd1.3538 - High Dec 12
*RES 3: Sgd1.3496 - High Dec 18
*RES 2: Sgd1.3489 - 2018 High May 10
*RES 1: Sgd1.3459 - 55-WMA, High May 21
*PRICE: Sgd1.3413 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3382 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3366 - 200-DMA
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3285 - Low May 4
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3234 - 55-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The 21-DMA supports while the 55-WMA currently caps. Bears look for
a close below the 200-DMA to confirm a break of the 21-DMA (Sgd1.3382) and to
shift initial focus to Sgd1.3285. Below this level is then needed to pressure 55
& 100-DMAs. Bulls now need a close above Sgd1.3538 to confirm traction above the
55-WMA and to focus on 200 (Sgd1.3621) & 100 (Sgd1.3680) WMAs.
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Broad Sideways Trading Continues
*RES 4: Krw1098.4 - 2018 High Feb 6
*RES 3: Krw1091.1 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: Krw1087.6 - High Mar 1
*RES 1: Krw1086.7 - High May 21
*PRICE: Krw1074.5 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1071.0 - 55-DMA
*SUP 2: Krw1066.4 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 3: Krw1063.3 - Low May 10
*SUP 4: Krw1058.7 - Low Apr 19
*COMMENTARY: Topside follow through remains lacking as the pair remains capped
ahead of the Krw1087.6 resistance. Bulls need a close above Krw1087.6 to confirm
focus on Krw1091.1-1098.4 where the 200-DMA and 2018 high are located. Bears
need a close below the 55-DMA to return pressure to Krw1063.3 and below this
level to initially target 2018 lows (Krw1052.0).
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Pressure Returns To 200-WMA
*RES 4: Myr4.0450 - Monthly Low Dec 5 now resistance
*RES 3: Myr4.0260 - High Jan 3
*RES 2: Myr4.0012 - 200-WMA
*RES 1: Myr3.9870 - High May 24
*PRICE: Myr3.9790 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr3.9620 - Low May 22
*SUP 2: Myr3.9515 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: Myr3.9400 - Low May 14
*SUP 4: Myr3.9250 - High Mar 16 now support
*COMMENTARY: Fresh 4mth highs were noted Thursday with immediate focus on the
200-WMA. Bulls need a close above the 200-WMA to initially target the 200-DMA
(Myr4.0445). Modestly O/B daily studies remain a concern for bulls as does the
Bollinger top (Myr3.9910). Bears now need a close below Myr3.9620 to ease
bullish pressure and below the 55-DMA to hint at a move back to 2018 lows.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Bollinger Top Limiting Follow Through
*RES 4: Cnh6.4475 - High Jan 16
*RES 3: Cnh6.4140 - Alternating daily support/resistance
*RES 2: Cnh6.3924 - Bollinger band top
*RES 1: Cnh6.3896 - High May 24
*PRICE: Cnh6.3855 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.3642 - High May 22 now support
*SUP 2: Cnh6.3556 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: Cnh6.3329 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: Cnh6.3173 - 55-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Bulls take comfort in the 21-DMA supporting on dips and pressure
returning to the Cnh6.6896 resistance. Bulls continue to look for a close above
this level to focus on Cnh6.4475-5017 where 200-DMA (Cnh6.4650) & 200-WMA
(Cnh6.4996) are situated. Bears now look for a close below the 21-DMA to ease
bullish pressure and below the 55-DMA to hint at a move back to 2018 lows.
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Php52.421 Support Key Today
*RES 4: Php53.071 - High July 3 2006
*RES 3: Php52.940 - High July 25 2006
*RES 2: Php52.730 - Bollinger band top
*RES 1: Php52.718 - 2018 High May 25
*PRICE: Php52.595 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php52.421 - Low May 24
*SUP 2: Php52.093 - 55-DMA
*SUP 3: Php52.056 - High May 10 now support
*SUP 4: Php51.889 - Daily Bull channel base
*COMMENTARY: Support emerging on dips back towards the 21 & 55-DMAs has resulted
in fresh 2018 & nearly 12yr highs although follow through has been lacking
courtesy of the Bollinger band top. Bulls now focus on Php53.940-53.071 last
seen in July 2006. Initial support is noted at Php52.421 with bears needing a
close below to gain breathing room and target a correction back to Php51.715-093
where the 5 & 100-DMAs and daily bull channel base are found.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Thb31.75 Support Key This Week
*RES 4: Thb32.39 - Low Jan 2 now support
*RES 3: Thb32.24 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: Thb32.17 - High May 22
*RES 1: Thb31.97 - Hourly resistance May 28
*PRICE: Thb31.87 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb31.75 - Low May 14
*SUP 2: Thb31.58 - Low May 3
*SUP 3: Thb31.53 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: Thb31.51 - 55-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The 200-DMA confirmed significance having capped the recovery from
2018 lows. The correction lower sees the pair flirting with the 21-DMA
(Thb31.93). The Thb31.75 support is key this week. Bears need a close below this
level to confirm a return in focus to Thb31.32-58 where 55 & 100-DMAs are
located. Bulls continue to look for a close above Thb32.39 to confirm a break of
the 200-DMA and focus on the 55-WMA (Thb32.61).
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: Bears Need Close Below Idr14110
*RES 4: Idr14730 - 2015 High Sept 29
*RES 3: Idr14620 - Low Oct 1 2015 now resistance
*RES 2: Idr14480 - Low Oct 5 2015 now resistance
*RES 1: Idr14210 - 2018 High May 23
*PRICE: Idr14115 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr14110 - High May 16 now support
*SUP 2: Idr14035 - High May 15 now support
*SUP 3: Idr14033 - 21-DMA
*SUP 4: Idr13985 - High May 14 now support
*COMMENTARY: 2018 highs defined last week although correcting O/B studies and
the Bollinger top (Idr14224) were noted as concerns and limited follow through.
Bears need a close below Idr14110 to gain breathing room. Below the 21-DMA is
needed to target a correction back to Idr1.3800-910 where the 55-DMA (Idr13875)
is found. While Idr14110 supports bulls remain focused on Idr14480-720 where
2015 highs are situated.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.