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MNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis

28 May 2018
By Kyle Shortland
Please click on this link to access MNI's daily Dollar-Asia FX Technical
Analysis Pdf http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Bears Need Close Below 200-DMA
*RES 4: Sgd1.3538 - High Dec 12 
*RES 3: Sgd1.3496 - High Dec 18 
*RES 2: Sgd1.3489 - 2018 High May 10 
*RES 1: Sgd1.3459 - 55-WMA, High May 21
*PRICE: Sgd1.3413 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3382 - 21-DMA 
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3366 - 200-DMA 
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3285 - Low May 4 
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3234 - 55-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The 21-DMA supports while the 55-WMA currently caps. Bears look for
a close below the 200-DMA to confirm a break of the 21-DMA (Sgd1.3382) and to
shift initial focus to Sgd1.3285. Below this level is then needed to pressure 55
& 100-DMAs. Bulls now need a close above Sgd1.3538 to confirm traction above the
55-WMA and to focus on 200 (Sgd1.3621) & 100 (Sgd1.3680) WMAs.
     DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Broad Sideways Trading Continues
*RES 4: Krw1098.4 - 2018 High Feb 6
*RES 3: Krw1091.1 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: Krw1087.6 - High Mar 1
*RES 1: Krw1086.7 - High May 21
*PRICE: Krw1074.5 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1071.0 - 55-DMA
*SUP 2: Krw1066.4 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 3: Krw1063.3 - Low May 10
*SUP 4: Krw1058.7 - Low Apr 19
*COMMENTARY: Topside follow through remains lacking as the pair remains capped
ahead of the Krw1087.6 resistance. Bulls need a close above Krw1087.6 to confirm
focus on Krw1091.1-1098.4 where the 200-DMA and 2018 high are located. Bears
need a close below the 55-DMA to return pressure to Krw1063.3 and below this
level to initially target 2018 lows (Krw1052.0).
     DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Pressure Returns To 200-WMA
*RES 4: Myr4.0450 - Monthly Low Dec 5 now resistance 
*RES 3: Myr4.0260 - High Jan 3 
*RES 2: Myr4.0012 - 200-WMA 
*RES 1: Myr3.9870 - High May 24
*PRICE: Myr3.9790 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr3.9620 - Low May 22 
*SUP 2: Myr3.9515 - 21-DMA 
*SUP 3: Myr3.9400 - Low May 14 
*SUP 4: Myr3.9250 - High Mar 16 now support
*COMMENTARY: Fresh 4mth highs were noted Thursday with immediate focus on the
200-WMA. Bulls need a close above the 200-WMA to initially target the 200-DMA
(Myr4.0445). Modestly O/B daily studies remain a concern for bulls as does the
Bollinger top (Myr3.9910). Bears now need a close below Myr3.9620 to ease
bullish pressure and below the 55-DMA to hint at a move back to 2018 lows.
     DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Bollinger Top Limiting Follow Through
*RES 4: Cnh6.4475 - High Jan 16 
*RES 3: Cnh6.4140 - Alternating daily support/resistance 
*RES 2: Cnh6.3924 - Bollinger band top 
*RES 1: Cnh6.3896 - High May 24
*PRICE: Cnh6.3855 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.3642 - High May 22 now support
*SUP 2: Cnh6.3556 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: Cnh6.3329 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: Cnh6.3173 - 55-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Bulls take comfort in the 21-DMA supporting on dips and pressure
returning to the Cnh6.6896 resistance. Bulls continue to look for a close above
this level to focus on Cnh6.4475-5017 where 200-DMA (Cnh6.4650) & 200-WMA
(Cnh6.4996) are situated. Bears now look for a close below the 21-DMA to ease
bullish pressure and below the 55-DMA to hint at a move back to 2018 lows.
     DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Php52.421 Support Key Today
*RES 4: Php53.071 - High July 3 2006 
*RES 3: Php52.940 - High July 25 2006 
*RES 2: Php52.730 - Bollinger band top 
*RES 1: Php52.718 - 2018 High May 25
*PRICE: Php52.595 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php52.421 - Low May 24 
*SUP 2: Php52.093 - 55-DMA 
*SUP 3: Php52.056 - High May 10 now support 
*SUP 4: Php51.889 - Daily Bull channel base
*COMMENTARY: Support emerging on dips back towards the 21 & 55-DMAs has resulted
in fresh 2018 & nearly 12yr highs although follow through has been lacking
courtesy of the Bollinger band top. Bulls now focus on Php53.940-53.071 last
seen in July 2006. Initial support is noted at Php52.421 with bears needing a
close below to gain breathing room and target a correction back to Php51.715-093
where the 5 & 100-DMAs and daily bull channel base are found.
     DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Thb31.75 Support Key This Week
*RES 4: Thb32.39 - Low Jan 2 now support 
*RES 3: Thb32.24 - 200-DMA 
*RES 2: Thb32.17 - High May 22 
*RES 1: Thb31.97 - Hourly resistance May 28
*PRICE: Thb31.87 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb31.75 - Low May 14 
*SUP 2: Thb31.58 - Low May 3 
*SUP 3: Thb31.53 - 100-DMA 
*SUP 4: Thb31.51 - 55-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The 200-DMA confirmed significance having capped the recovery from
2018 lows. The correction lower sees the pair flirting with the 21-DMA
(Thb31.93). The Thb31.75 support is key this week. Bears need a close below this
level to confirm a return in focus to Thb31.32-58 where 55 & 100-DMAs are
located. Bulls continue to look for a close above Thb32.39 to confirm a break of
the 200-DMA and focus on the 55-WMA (Thb32.61).
     DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: Bears Need Close Below Idr14110
*RES 4: Idr14730 - 2015 High Sept 29 
*RES 3: Idr14620 - Low Oct 1 2015 now resistance 
*RES 2: Idr14480 - Low Oct 5 2015 now resistance 
*RES 1: Idr14210 - 2018 High May 23
*PRICE: Idr14115 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr14110 - High May 16 now support 
*SUP 2: Idr14035 - High May 15 now support 
*SUP 3: Idr14033 - 21-DMA 
*SUP 4: Idr13985 - High May 14 now support
*COMMENTARY: 2018 highs defined last week although correcting O/B studies and
the Bollinger top (Idr14224) were noted as concerns and limited follow through.
Bears need a close below Idr14110 to gain breathing room. Below the 21-DMA is
needed to target a correction back to Idr1.3800-910 where the 55-DMA (Idr13875)
is found. While Idr14110 supports bulls remain focused on Idr14480-720 where
2015 highs are situated.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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