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Free AccessMNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Rounds Out Cabinet Nominations
MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Week Ahead 25 Nov-1 Dec
MNI EXCLUSIVE: Fed May Consider Funding For Lending Program
--Ex Officials Tout Benefits After Main Street Loans See Little Take-Up
By Pedro Nicolaci da Costa and Jean Yung
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The U.S. could consider adopting a UK-style Funding for
Lending program if markets become unsettled by a second wave of Covid-19
infections, former senior Federal Reserve officials told MNI.
The program would be a way to ensure Fed credit provision makes its way
toward small- and medium-sized businesses by offering funds to banks at a lower
cost than prevailing market rates in return for their commitment to lend to
targeted groups.
Proponents say it would be relatively simple to implement with precedents
not just in Britain but also Australia. Any program must entice banks to bear
the risk of bad loans and overcome the longstanding domestic stigma associated
with borrowing directly from the central bank's discount window.
Funding for Lending may also compensate for the early unpopularity of the
"Main Street" emergency credit facility. Fed officials have so far given no
indication that they're considering such a program, though they have pledged to
do whatever it takes to keep credit flowing and increasingly see a protracted
recovery that may trigger a wave of corporate bankruptcies.
"That's something they could look at to encourage banks to make more loans
-- this is in addition to fine-tuning Main Street lending," said Donald Kohn, a
former FOMC vice chair who spent three decades at the central bank and also
worked at the Bank of England.
The Main Street lending facility came online this month with a USD600
billion capacity but has seen no take-up as of last week. MNI has reported that
community-based groups with strong ties to small businesses have expressed
concern to Fed officials that the loans will not reach intended recipients as
their terms are currently structured.
Funding for Lending "could solve a shortage of credit if the Main Street
facility isn't really doing that," said Nellie Liang, founding director of the
Division of Financial Stability at the Federal Reserve Board, now at the
Brookings Institution and Yale School of Management. "In some ways, why wouldn't
you do it?"
--TAF REVIVAL
Funding for Lending could be ramped up without Treasury approval using the
discount window authority, much in the way that the Term Auction Facility was
created a decade ago.
Bill Nelson, previously deputy director of Fed's Monetary Affairs Division
and now chief economist at the Bank Policy Institute, is a proponent of such a
new approach for the Fed should the economic outlook worsen. With current
expectations for Fed rates to remain near zero for a long time, the real
question is whether access to credit is a problem that needs solving through a
new program.
Credit market conditions have generally improved since March but officials
have flagged the precarious situation of millions of small businesses without
established banking relationships.
"The Fed did not use a Funding for Lending program in the last crisis,"
partly due to serious doubt over take-up, Nelson said. "But difficulties with
Main Street may now have the Fed searching for simpler alternatives."
One option is targeting small business funding, he said, and the Fed could
piggyback its tracking of credit using already existing reports on how much
banks are lending to small firms.
"The rates would probably have to be negative to get banks to make the
types of loans you want," he told MNI. "And if you want to make it simple and
fast then you can't include a lot of granular detail about what types of loans
Funding for Lending will support."
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: pedro.dacosta@marketnews.com
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: jean.yung@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMUFE$,M$U$$$,MK$$$$,MT$$$$,MX$$$$,M$$CR$,M$$FI$]
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.