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MNI Fed Balance Sheet Tracker - May 19, 2023

MNI Fed Balance Sheet Tracker - May 19, 2023

MNI Fed Balance Sheet Tracker - May 19, 2023

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • Usage of Fed liquidity facilities saw an 8th consecutive decline in the week to May 17, with a modest rise in takeup of the new Bank Term Funding Program offset by falls in discount window borrowing and “other” credit extensions.
  • The size of the Bank Term Funding Program hit a new peak, but this is not a particularly worrying development, with the steady rise more indicative of banks taking advantage of generous financing terms under the program rather than requiring emergency funding.
  • An informal MNI client poll run earlier this week saw no respondents expect an outright US debt default, with an 80/20 split between those expecting a short-term stop gap versus a long-term debt ceiling increase.
  • If there is a resolution by early June, and the Treasury can resume borrowing, it’s expected to quickly replenish its cash pile by issuing sizeable amounts of T-Bills. Reserves could drain out of the system quickly as the Treasury rebuilds its cash pile, putting renewed pressure on system liquidity.

    For full PDF analysis:

    FedBalanceSheet-May192023.pdf



    Source: MNI, US Treasury


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