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MNI Fed Review-Jun 2021: Dots Throw Doubt On Reaction Function

MNI Fed Review-Jun 2021: Dots Throw Doubt On Reaction Function

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • The combination of greater FOMC confidence in the economic outlook and increasing concern about upside inflation risks led to a more-hawkish-than-expected June meeting outcome.
  • Many analysts questioned if the new tightening outlook meant that FOMC's reaction function had changed.
  • Markets priced in earlier Fed liftoff, with real rates higher and breakeven inflation lower. Several sell-side analysts pulled forward their expectations for tapering and/or rate hikes.

FOR FULL PDF ANALYSIS PLEASE USE THE FOLLOWING LINK:

FOMCRevJun2021.pdf


Source: Federal Reserve June FOMC Summary of Economic Projections



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