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MNI INTERVIEW: G20 To Restart US Talks: Ex-China Vice-Minister

     BEIJING (MNI) - Chinese President Xi Jinping and Donald Trump should agree
to restart stalled trade talks later this month, but, while Washington faces
domestic pressure to reach an agreement, Beijing is increasingly looking beyond
its traditional commerce to prioritise the continent-spanning Belt and Road
infrastructure drive and yuan internationalisation, a former deputy Chinese
trade minister told MNI.
     A positive result from the meeting set for the G20 summit in Osaka at the
end of the month should come even as China sticks to calls for the U.S. to
remove tariffs imposed on Chinese goods and to drop unrealistic demands for
purchases of American products, Wei Jianguo, who served as a deputy minister at
the Ministry of Commerce from 2003 to 2008, said in an interview.
     "The meeting during the G20 is likely to yield to an agreement in line with
the world's expectations, as well as with the will expressed by the two
countries," Wei said, adding that averting tariffs on an additional USD325
billion of Chinese goods as threatened by Trump would be a pre-condition for
returning to the negotiating table, and that the U.S. leader should "pull back
the horse before the precipice."
     The U.S. is eager for a deal, with fears by American companies and farmers
that they will lose access to the Chinese market likely to be a concern for
Trump as he seeks re-election, and China also desires an agreement that
addresses its concerns, said Wei, now a vice chairman at the Chinese Center for
International Economic Exchanges, a think tank under the National Development
and Reform Commission.
     "China needs an equal and fair deal based on mutual respect, not one
imposed on us violating our sovereignty and core interests," Wei said, noting
that Xi will insist on China's core interests relating to sovereignty and
territorial integrity, national security including energy, the internet, defence
and food, as well as its right to develop its economy.
     --BELT AND ROAD
     A good outcome from the meeting would strengthen confidence in the global
economy and even prevent a potential recession that could have resulted from
escalating confrontation between the two economies. Yet at the same time the
realisation is growing within China that its massive Belt and Road
infrastructure drive is key to its economic future. This makes yuan
internationalisation more important, in order to reduce Chinese companies'
foreign exchange risk, Wei said, noting that nearly 1,000 Belt and Road projects
in Africa involving 3,500 Chinese firms rely on the U.S. dollar.
     Increased cooperation with global financial hubs, such as the
Shanghai-London Stock Connect program launched Monday, should further this end,
boosting the yuan's roles in global trade settlement, reserves and payment, Wei
said.
     "The program will be a significant driver to accelerate yuan globalisation
and improve the credibility of the currency," Wei said, adding that: "A stable
and even strong yuan benefit China's development and also global growth, even
though a weaker yuan could bolster our exports."
     China is further opening up its financial markets, setting up more offshore
yuan hubs, increasing currency swaps with other countries and encouraging its
currency's inclusion in central bank reserves and commodities pricing, said Wei,
adding that Beijing will seek to ease controls on its capital account while
ensuring financial stability and security, Wei said.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; +44 203 865 3829; email: jason.webb@marketnews.com
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