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MNI Japan Survey: Preliminary GDP for April-June

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:03 GMT Aug 10/17:03 EST Aug 10
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for Japan's gross
domestic product for the April-June quarter of 2017 provided by economists
surveyed by MNI.
     Monday, Aug. 14, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Sunday, Aug. 13): The Cabinet Office
releases preliminary Q2 GDP. The median forecasts are in quarter-on-quarter
percentage changes, except for the contributions of private inventories and net
exports, which are in percentage points.
Data                 Median Forecast  Previous
----------------------------------------------
GDP q/q                          0.7       0.3
GDP annualized                   2.6       1.0
Consumption                      0.5       0.3
Capex                            1.4       0.6
Public Investment                4.4      -0.1
Private Inventories              0.2      -0.1
Net Exports                     -0.3       0.1
                                            GDP    Annualized
-------------------------------------------------------------
                                          % q/q             %
Median Forecast                             0.7           2.6
High Forecast                               0.9           3.6
Low Forecast                                0.5           2.2
Previous                                    0.3           1.0
Standard Deviation                          0.1           0.4
No. of Responses                             10            10
NLI Research Institute                      0.9           3.6
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute            0.8           3.2
Daiwa Institute of Research                 0.7           2.8
BNP Paribas                                 0.7           2.7
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management            0.7           2.7
Mizuho Research Institute                   0.6           2.5
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities              0.6           2.5
Hamagin Research Institute                  0.6           2.4
SMBC Nikko Securities                       0.6           2.3
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting      0.5           2.2
                                          Consumption    Capex    Public Works
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                % q/q    % q/q           % q/q
Median Forecast                                   0.5      1.4             4.4
High Forecast                                     0.7      2.0             6.8
Low Forecast                                      0.3      0.6             1.7
Previous                                          0.3      0.6            -0.1
Standard Deviation                                0.1      0.4             1.5
No. of Responses                                   10       10              10
NLI Research Institute                            0.7      1.0             2.9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                  0.7      1.2             5.0
Daiwa Institute of Research                       0.3      1.5             5.2
BNP Paribas                                       0.5      1.5             4.5
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                  0.6      0.7             6.8
Mizuho Research Institute                         0.5      0.6             4.8
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                    0.3      2.0             4.1
SMBC Nikko Securities                             0.6      1.5             1.7
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting            0.5      1.3             4.3
Hamagin Research Institute                        0.4      1.8             2.7
                                    Private Inventories            Net Exports
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                % Point                % Point
                                           Contribution           Contribution
Median Forecast                                     0.2                   -0.3
High Forecast                                       0.3                   -0.0
Low Forecast                                        0.0                   -0.3
Previous                                           -0.1                    0.1
Standard Deviation                                  0.1                    0.1
No. of Responses                                     10                     10
NLI Research Institute                              0.3                   -0.2
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                    0.3                   -0.3
Daiwa Institute of Research                         0.2                   -0.2
BNP Paribas                                         0.2                   -0.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                    0.1                   -0.3
Mizuho Research Institute                           0.3                   -0.3
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                      0.0                   -0.0
SMBC Nikko Securities                               0.2                   -0.3
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and
Consulting                                          0.0                   -0.2
Hamagin Research Institute                          0.1                   -0.2
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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