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MNI NBH Review - November 2021: Virag Uncomfortable With HUF Weakness

Hungary Central Bank

Executive Summary:

  • The NBH decided to hike its policy rate by 30bps to 2.1% (as expected) at yesterday's meeting
  • Selling pressure on HUF has remained elevated in the past few weeks despite the NBH hiking rates (down 3.3% vs. USD this month)
  • Virag mentioned that the NBH needs to quickly react to currency-market risk
  • A weak forint keeps supporting inflation expectations

Link to full review:

MNI Hungary CB Review Nov 16.pdf

The NBH decided to hike its policy rate by 30bps to 2.1% (as expected), which disappointed the market and led to some HUF depreciation following the decision. The left chart shows that the policy rate is currently standing at its highest level since February 2015.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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