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MNI POLICY: BOJ Suzuki: Easy Policy Needed; Watch Side-Effects

MNI (London)
     MITO, Japan (MNI) - Bank of Japan board member Hitoshi Suzuki said Thursday
that the BOJ needs to increase the sustainability of its easy policy as firms'
cautious wage- and price-setting stance will restrict price hikes long into the
future.
     Speaking to business leaders in Mito City, Suzuki added that households'
caution toward price rises will also restrict price rises ahead.
     Suzuki, former commercial banker who joined the nine-member policy board in
July 2017, also said that the BOJ should pay attention to the risk that an
economic slowdown will increase banks' credit costs, causing a worsening of
banks' profits.
     At the January 22-23 meeting, the BOJ board kept monetary policy unchanged,
as  Japan's economy is expanding moderately despite emerging downside risks.
     The board then decided voted 7-to-2 to stand pat on the yield curve control
policy and the asset purchases, maintaining its recovery scenario as a worsening
of economic conditions hasn't been observed through economic data. The BOJ vowed
to maintain the current easy policy "for an extended period of time."
     Other key points from Suzuki's speech:
     --The BOJ needs to increase the flexibility of easy policy, depending on
developments of the financial markets. It is important for the BOJ to change the
scale of its purchases of Japanese government bonds according to market moves,
he said, but didn't elaborate on how it would adjust the scale of bond buying.
     --Regional banks are increasing loans to middle-risk companies. "Looking
ahead, if the economy fell into recession, it would increase credit costs at
banks and increase the necessity for banks to increase loan-loss reserves, which
will sharply cause a worsening of banks' profits.
     --It's vital for the BOJ to maintain a current powerful easy policy for a
long period as Japan is still only half-way to achieving the 2% price stability
target.
     --However, the BOJ must pay attention to the side-effects of easy policy,
such as banks' aggressive risk-taking activities, and will adjust policy in an
appropriate manner.
     --The economic fundamentals for the global economy haven't changed
significantly, but the BOJ needs to keep a close eye on heightened downside
risks, including the risk of worsening economic fundamentals due to volatility
in financial markets. 
     --The momentum toward achieving the 2% price target is maintained, although
Japan's price moves are still weak. Upward pressure on consumer prices was
caused by the continued positive output gap for the eighth straight quarter.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MAJDS$,MMJBJ$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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