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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-NZ PM Resigns, Calls Oct Election

New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announced her resignation on 19 January in an unexpected development that leaves the stage wide open for a new leader to stamp their mark on the country’s politics ahead of the general election, called for 14 October. Ardern announced that she would step down as PM by 7 February, with her centre-left Labour Party meeting on 22 January to elect a new leader. In a hastily convened presser, Ardern stated that she had “…given my absolute all,” and that “I know what this job takes, and I know that I no longer have enough in the tank to do it justice. It’s that simple.”

Political focus will now turn to two areas: who could replace Ardern as party head and PM, and what impact will a new leader have on the outcome of the October election.

Full article PDF attached below:

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - NZ PM Resigns, Leaves Stage Open Ahead Of Oct Election.pdf

Chart 1. New Zealand General Election Opinion Polling, % and 4-Poll Moving Average

Source: Roy Morgan, Taxpayers’ Union-Curia, Talbot Mills, Newshub-Reid Research, 1 News-Kantar Public, MNI

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