MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 07-04-22

Executive Summary:

• 13:45 ET 18:45 BST: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) has outlined a tentative schedule for the confirmation of President Biden’s Supreme Court nominee Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson. A final vote is expected to take place at 13:45 ET and pass with a slim bi-partisan majority.
• Pentagon Spokesperson John Kirby has confirmed that the sixth drawdown of equipment from Defence Department’s inventories ‘brings the total US security assistance commitment to Ukraine to more than USD$2.4 billion since the beginning of the Biden Administration.'
• US Secretary of State Antony Blinken will continue his diplomatic engagements in Brussels today with a G7 foreign ministers’ breakfast meeting this morning followed by a NATO foreign ministerial in the afternoon.
• It’s a bumper day in the Senate. Alongside the SCOTUS confirmation vote, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) will also push for a vote on a package to strip Russia and Belarus of preferential trade status and codify the ban on Russian oil. Schumer would also like to move on the COVID-19 relief bill, but the late GOP call for a Title 42 amendment will likely bump the bill until after the Spring recess.
• House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) had angered China by reportedly planning to visit Taiwan after a trip to Japan this weekend. Taiwan based United Daily News has reported that Pelosi will arrive in Taiwan on Sunday April 10, a highly symbolic date in US-Taiwan relations.
• Poll of the Day: The war in Ukraine is having significant consequences for how Russians and Americans view each other.

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 07-04-22 .pdf