MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 10-05-22

Executive Summary:

• Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) has set up a vote today to codify Roe v. Wade, but Democrats aren’t close to achieving the ten Republican votes required to clear a filibuster.
• Congressional leaders appear to have broken a stalemate on the nearly USD$40 billion of military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine after weeks of languishing in the Senate over demands on 'Title 42' and COVID-19 funding.
• The Republican-leaning states of Nebraska and West Virginia will hold primary elections today for the United States House of Representatives and Governor's mansion. If endorsees of former President Donald Trump win then Trump's claims of influence over the GOP become more credible.
• President Biden will host Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi today at the White House today to discuss the war in Ukraine, energy, climate change, and the global economy.
• Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will testify to the Senate Banking Committee today and expected to warn of continued market volatility.
• Poll of the Day: In response to a Tweet from Elon Musk, the Washington Post has produced a report on the growing belief that both political parties have become too extreme.

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 10-05-22 .pdf