MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 31-10-22

Executive Summary:

• It is the final full week of campaigning before the US midterm elections. President Biden’s schedule includes rallies on behalf of vulnerable Democrat candidates but frontline Democrats have increasingly sought the presence of former President Barrack Obama on campaign trail.
• Florida’s status as a swing state appears in doubt as early voting data and shifts in party affiliation suggest that a recent trend towards the GOP looks set to continue.
• The US Supreme Court has begun proceedings in a case which is expected to result in a decision overturning of the 1978 SCOTUS ruling in Regents of the University of California v. Bakke.
• One of the Biden administration’s flagship pieces of legislation, the Inflation Reduction Act, could lead to a souring of relations with key allies in Europe and Asia.
• Poll of the Day: 25% of likely voters believe that inflation is the most important political issue ahead of next week’s midterm elections.

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 31-10-22 .pdf