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MNI POLITICAL RISK - Presidential Polling Remains Deadlocked

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Executive summary:

  • With just over two weeks until Election Day, Vice President Kamala Harris is seeking to shore up support in the Blue Wall, while former president Donald Trump is looking to expand his vote share among ethnic minority voters.
  • Trump’s most prominent donor, Elon Musk, has made headlines with a legally dubious promise to give away $1 million every day to someone who signs his online petition.
  • More than 1.4 million ballots have been cast in Georgia, one of the most critical swing states of the cycle.
  • Presidential election polling remains deadlocked, with no high-quality national or state-level polls released over the weekend.
  • Trump's failure to sign transition agreements could “dramatically slow his takeover of the federal government if he wins in November.”
  • A new biography of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) could be an 'October surprise' for the Trump campaign. 
  • The White House has proposed new rules that would compel insurers to expand access to contraception, a move to fortify Harris’ advantage with female voters. 
  • Trump said he is “confident” that he can get a “lasting peace [in the Middle East] done” if he is elected to a second term.
  • Data shows the crypto sector is more heavily invested in a GOP win.
  • Poll of the Day: Voters are split on whether Trump or Harris is better able to handle the economy.

Please find the full article attached below: US Daily Brief

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Executive summary:

  • With just over two weeks until Election Day, Vice President Kamala Harris is seeking to shore up support in the Blue Wall, while former president Donald Trump is looking to expand his vote share among ethnic minority voters.
  • Trump’s most prominent donor, Elon Musk, has made headlines with a legally dubious promise to give away $1 million every day to someone who signs his online petition.
  • More than 1.4 million ballots have been cast in Georgia, one of the most critical swing states of the cycle.
  • Presidential election polling remains deadlocked, with no high-quality national or state-level polls released over the weekend.
  • Trump's failure to sign transition agreements could “dramatically slow his takeover of the federal government if he wins in November.”
  • A new biography of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) could be an 'October surprise' for the Trump campaign. 
  • The White House has proposed new rules that would compel insurers to expand access to contraception, a move to fortify Harris’ advantage with female voters. 
  • Trump said he is “confident” that he can get a “lasting peace [in the Middle East] done” if he is elected to a second term.
  • Data shows the crypto sector is more heavily invested in a GOP win.
  • Poll of the Day: Voters are split on whether Trump or Harris is better able to handle the economy.

Please find the full article attached below: US Daily Brief