Free Trial

MNI POLITICAL RISK – US Elections Weekly: Comparing Models

Weekly snapshot of the US elections.

Executive Summary:

The Economist and 538 released their 2024 presidential election models this week. The 538 model forecasts a 'toss-up' but The Economist gives Trump a relatively strong lead. Inside we provide a summary of what they show and analysis of how methodologies can throw up different forecasts.

Keep reading...Show less
140 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.

Executive Summary:

The Economist and 538 released their 2024 presidential election models this week. The 538 model forecasts a 'toss-up' but The Economist gives Trump a relatively strong lead. Inside we provide a summary of what they show and analysis of how methodologies can throw up different forecasts.

Keep reading...Show less