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MNI Publishes Run-Off Election Preview

ARGENTINA

MNI's Political Risk team has published a preview for the presidential run-off election taking place on 19 Nov. The election is on a knife edge, with Peronist Economy Minister Sergio Massa and right-wing libertarian candidate Javier Milei running almost neck-and-neck in opinion polling and betting market implied probabilities. The stark nature of the opposing campaigns, notably Milei's 'chainsaw strategy' of imposing major public spending cuts and dollarising the economy, make the election extremely consequential for Argentina's economic and political outlook.

  • The preview includes briefings on the electoral system, an opinion polling chartpack, scenario analysis with assigned probabilities, and financial market commentary.

For full article see PDF below:

MNIPOLITICALRISKANALYSIS-ArgentinaRun-OffElectionPreview.pdf

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