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MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: Durables

                         Dec 22     Dec 22
                        Durable    Durable
                      Goods New      Goods
                         Orders  Ex. Trans
Data For                    Nov        Nov
Denomination            Pct Chg    Pct Chg
Median Forecast **          2.3        0.6
High Forecast               4.0        2.0
Low Forecast                1.2        0.3
Mean                        2.5        0.7
Standard Deviation          0.8        0.4
No. of Responses             16         15
Amherst Pierpont            4.0        0.4
BofA/Merrill Lynch           NA        0.6
Bank of the West            2.0        0.5
Barclays Capital            2.5        2.0
BMO                         2.5        0.3
BNP Paribas                 3.9        1.0
Capital Economics           2.5        0.5
CIBC                        1.8        0.4
Comerica Bank                NA         NA
Credit Suisse               2.0        0.6
FT Advisors                 3.3        1.1
Goldman Sachs               2.0        0.6
Morgan Stanley              1.8        0.4
Natwest                     1.2         NA
Nomura                      2.0        0.5
NTL Bank Canada             3.2        0.7
SocGen                      2.8        0.7
TD Securities                NA         NA
UBS                          NA         NA
UMaryland                   2.0         NA
** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email:

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