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MNI UST Issuance Deep Dive - July 2021

MNI UST Issuance Deep Dive - July 2021

Coupon and FRN auction sizes should continue at current record levels through July: $60B 2Y, $58B 3Y, $61B 5Y, $62B 7Y, $38B 10Y, $24B in 20- and 30Y Bonds. The next quarterly refunding announcement will take place on Wednesday, August 4, 2021.

  • Sell-side analysts continue to anticipate a gradual reduction in auction sizes in the latter half of the year. There are expectations that the debt ceiling reinstatement debate will heat up ahead the July 31 suspension expiration.
  • June auction review: Strong 10- and 20Y auction re-opens outperformed mostly average auctions across the balance of the curve. Short durations (2s, 5s) underperformed in the bull-flattening that kicked off after the June 16 FOMC.

MNI UST Issuance Deep Dive - July 2021

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