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Momentum in PLN Keeps Supporting Polish Equities

POLAND
  • In the EM market, we have noticed the existence of a strong 'Pavlovian' relationship between the equity market and the currency, where usually periods of currency strength are associated with higher equity prices.
  • This chart shows the strong relationship between Polish equities (WIG20) and the USDPLN exchange rate (inverted).
  • In recent weeks, traders have been chasing the PLN as speculation over an early NBP move has been rising due to growing concerns over inflationary pressures.
  • WIG20 is currently trading at its highest level since November 2019; ST resistance stands at 2,277, a break above that level would open the door for a move up to 2,358.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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