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Free AccessMore Fuel Switching Limited By Coal Dispatch At Must-Run Levels
Lower natural gas prices have driven fuel-switching by European power generators but the potential for a further decline in coal-fired generation is now very limited according to S&P Global Commodity on 9 June.
- "The dynamics of the market have changed. Coal is just not cost-effective. Even with the current multi-year low coal prices, it's still cheaper to switch to gas," said a S&P Global source.
- European gas prices have moved deep into the lignite-to-gas and coal-to-gas switching channels in recent weeks. In late May and early April, day-ahead German THE hub prices fell to the level needed for a 50%-efficient gas-fired units to compete with modern 43%-efficient lignite plants.
- Prices are still in the switching channel despite recent gas prices rises allowing 50%-efficient gas units to replace a 40%-efficient lignite unit in the merit order.
- S&P Global sees little scope for a further decline as hard coal dispatch has already reached must-run levels.
Source: S&P Global
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MNI is the leading provider
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