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Morgan Stanley went long AUD/NZD at.....>

AUSSIE-KIWI
AUSSIE-KIWI: Morgan Stanley went long AUD/NZD at the NY close on Thursday, with
a target of NZ$1.1200 and a top at NZ$1.0440.
- Morgan Stanley reason that "the RBA signaled that it is optimistic about the
medium-term outlook,and the labor market has been adding full-time jobs at a
healthy pace. We expect the RBA to remain on hold in September and October,
disappointing a market expecting a cut in October. The RBNZ has shown its
willingness to deliver large surprise cuts,
and may move to provide further accommodation in the coming months - sooner than
the RBA. NZD should also continue trading
lower due to the combination of trade tensions and softening data. The high
degree of sensitivity of NZD to rate differentials suggests that more dovish
RBNZ actions would keep NZD trending lower. The key risk to the trade is that
trade tensions abate, spurring a rebound in trade-sensitive currencies like
NZD."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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