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Free AccessMUFG Securities Americas rates.....>
US TSYS/RESEARCH: MUFG Securities Americas rates strategist John Herrmann said
2s-10s Treasury yld curve "remains near the lower yld spread floor of its 7-wk
trading range; a risk that might steepen the 2s-10s curve back towards 100 bps
is our concern over central bank Q.T. (Quantitative Taper) announcements and
policies during the months of September and early October."
- He adds "an adverse mkt reaction to Q.T. announcements may steepen the 2s0-10s
yield curve in a 'tantrum' reaction: possibly back to a yld spread of 100 bps,
possibly more. Such a 'tantrum reaction' is a risk to our baseline scenario of a
moderate rise in ylds across the yield curve over 2H-2017 and a slight
steepening towards of the 2s-10s Treasury yield spread towards 101 bps over the
coming 6 weeks."
- Herrmann said it's "still less than 4 wks away from a possible ECB
announcement, and the MOVE index is highly complacent (at a multi-decade low
pt), as mkt participants have little fear that central bankers will may be
overly hawkish and announce a policy 'mis-step.'"
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.