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MUFG Securities Americas rates.....>

US TSYS/RESEARCH
US TSYS/RESEARCH: MUFG Securities Americas rates strategist John Herrmann said
2s-10s Treasury yld curve "remains near the lower yld spread floor of its 7-wk
trading range; a risk that might steepen the 2s-10s curve back towards 100 bps
is our concern over central bank Q.T. (Quantitative Taper) announcements and
policies during the months of September and early October."
- He adds "an adverse mkt reaction to Q.T. announcements may steepen the 2s0-10s
yield curve in a 'tantrum' reaction: possibly back to a yld spread of 100 bps,
possibly more. Such a 'tantrum reaction' is a risk to our baseline scenario of a
moderate rise in ylds across the yield curve over 2H-2017 and a slight
steepening towards of the 2s-10s Treasury yield spread towards 101 bps over the
coming 6 weeks."
- Herrmann said it's "still less than 4 wks away from a possible ECB
announcement, and the MOVE index is highly complacent (at a multi-decade low
pt), as mkt participants have little fear that central bankers will may be
overly hawkish and announce a policy 'mis-step.'"

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