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NAHB Housing Market Index Increases After 12 Months Of Declines

US DATA
  • It had to come at some point after twelve consecutive monthly declines, but the NAHB home builder sentiment surprisingly firmed in January, rising 4pts to 35 after November’s 31 had come within 1pt of the Apr’20 low.
  • It’s still only the highest since October but the monthly improvement is broad-based both regionally and by component, with present sales and prospective buyer traffic moving off recent lows and future sales increasing for the second month.
  • Combined with today’s weekly mortgage application data, it provides tentative signs that we could be seeing the bottom of the housing downturn as hard data starts to support a prior turnaround in the S&P 500 homebuilders index [chart].

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