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Neer Firmer In Early Dealing, Trade Figures Out Tomorrow

SGD

The SGD NEER (per Goldman Sachs estimates) is firmer today, NEER sits ~0.6% below the upper end of the band at present levels, see the chart below. We remain marginally below highs seen in the index in early Feb.

  • For USD/SGD, the pair continues to be driven by the broader greenback trend. Bulls have faced resistance above the 50-Day EMA ($1.3361) yesterday, and the pair has ticked away from the level in early dealing and last prints $1.3330/40 ~0.2% softer today.
  • Rising regional equities have boosted risk sentiment in Asia, weighing on the USD however gains remain limited in relation to the greenback gains seen yesterday.
  • On the wires early tomorrow, we have Jan Export data. Non-oil Domestic Exports are estimated to have fallen 1.0% MoM in the Bloomberg survey (-21.9% Y/Y, versus -20.6% prior). Electronic Exports are also on the wires, there is no estimate, the prior read was -17.9%.
  • Next Thursday Jan CPI prints, which may influence the April MAS meeting more than export trends.

Fig 1: SGD NEER - Deviation From Top End Of The Band (Goldman Sachs Index)

Source: Goldman Sachs/MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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