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NEER Firms, Govt Still Expects 2023 Budget Deficit

SGD

The SGD NEER (per Goldman Sachs estimates) is firmer today, NEER sits ~0.6% below the upper end of the band at present levels. We are a touch below highs seen in the index in early Feb.

  • Deputy PM Wong said yesterday the government aims to narrow the 2023 Budget Deficit to 0.1% of GDP, revised from 0.3% of GDP.
  • The Government plans to do this by raising taxes by ~7.1% including taxes on high value property transactions. Expenditure will be trimmed by 2.%. The Government is also continuing its plans to raise the GST to 9% from 8% currently in Jan next year.
  • With Headline CPI still elevated, the government is also increasing subsidies to lower income households by $3bn to cushion against inflation and the GST rate increase.
  • USD/SGD continues to be driven by the broader greenback trend. Bulls have faced resistance above $1.33, and bears target a close below the 20-Day EMA ($1.3247). The pair last printed $1.3280/85.

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