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Nomura Still Like Long EUR/NOK, Despite Recent Knockback

NOK

On NOK, Nomura write that two of the five reasons why they liked long EUR/NOK in mid-March have now been knocked back.

  • They write that firstly, the Norges Bank moved in a more hawkish direction, and secondly, Norway’s PMIs have bounced back, compared to peers slowing down.
  • However, they still see a path higher for EUR/NOK if the bounce in PMIs is not sustained, energy prices are still on the backfoot, global risk sentiment tested by poor Euroarea/China data and Norges Bank FX purchases being higher than energy would suggest.
  • As such, they remain long EUR/NOK, targeting 12.00 by end-June.

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