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OFZs Rally as Investors Eye Falling Inflation In the Pipeline

RUSSIA
  • Local & USD rates trade a fraction softer this morning, having rallied in yesterday’s session on the back of further signs of moderating inflation in December.
  • Yields fell -5-10bp across the curve with 5 & 15Y tenors outperforming. W/w OFZs have trimmed early losses to trade mostly flat following gains in the prior two sessions with markets becoming more upbeat about OFZs.
  • Key support in the 10Y stands at 8.50 & 3.33. Russia’s 5Y CDS has ticked up this week, rising sharply in yesterday’s session as geopolitical risks continue to simmer in the background.
  • Guidance from the CBR will be key for front end yields in assessing whether there’s still room for more hikes in 1Q22, with some sell-side analysts tentatively calling an end to the hiking cycle at this meeting.
  • OFZ curve w/w


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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