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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessOnly Modest Trimming In Terminal Rate Expectations
- The minutes came as a dovish cue rather than being massaged in a hawkish direction, led by headlines that whilst some officials still see the Fed Funds rate below neutral, officials saw a slower pace of rate hikes at some point with many officials seeing risk that the Fed could tighten more than necessary.
- FI gains are limited though considering the range of Fedspeak since the meeting pushing back against it being seen as a dovish pivot.
- Fed Funds implied hikes dip slightly to 63bp for the Sept FOMC with only small declines of circa 3-4bps across meetings further out, including the terminal rate trimmed to 3.70% at the Mar’23 meeting. That’s still at levels touched prior to last week’s CPI miss whilst prior Fed commentary of higher for longer keeps rates seen for mid-2023 meetings up to 50bps higher than after the Jul FOMC.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.