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OPEC+ Production Cuts Could Push Economy Into Recession: IEA

OPEC+

The OPEC+ cut to production targets last week risks pushing the market into deficit, could drive up prices and could push the global economy into recession according to the IEA yesterday.

  • "The relentless deterioration of the economy and higher prices sparked by an OPEC+ plan to cut supply are slowing world oil demand" according to the IEA.
  • "With unrelenting inflationary pressures and interest rate hikes taking their toll, higher oil prices may prove the tipping point for a global economy already on the brink of recession,"
  • Saudi Arabia and UAE will delivery most of the real production cuts due to group member underproduction. Nigeria, Angola and Russia are lagging the furthest behind OPEC+ production targets. OPEC output in 2022 is expected to rise by 2.57mbpd from last year to just below 29mbpd but could have been as much as 1mbpd higher without member underproduction according to MEES.

Source: IEA

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