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Overseas Remittances Beat Expectations

PHP

Spot USD/PHP has recouped its opening losses, despite a beat in overseas remittances. The rate last trades at PHP48.495, little changed on the day.

  • A break above the 200-DMA at PHP48.588 is needed to give bulls some fresh impetus, opening up Mar 17/Feb 23 highs of PHP48.736/48.755. Bears look for a clean breach of the 50-DMA at PHP48.443, followed by Apr 6 low of PHP48.319.
  • Overseas remittances rose 5.1% Y/Y in Feb, beating BBG est. of a 2.0% increase, after a 1.7% decline recorded in Jan. Philippine workers sent $2.48bn home, boosting the YtD sum of foreign remittances to $5.08bn.
  • Finance Sec Dominguez brushed away suggestions that the Philippines has become too reliant on stimulus programmes and pledged that the gov't will continue striking a balance between providing economic support and long-term debt sustainability.
  • Philippine House of Reps will start debating the Bayanihan 3 law next week, which would provide another round of stimulus measures.
  • Philippine vaccine tsar Galvez said that Manila will continue talks on J&J Covid-19 vaccine supply, despite the "operational pause" on using the jab. Galves also revealed that the Philippines struck a deal with Russia's Gamaleya Centre to buy 10mn of Sputnik V vaccine doses.
  • OCTA Research Group estimated that the fatality rate among Covid-19 patients in the capital increased to 5.4% between Mar 28 and Apr 13.
  • Several Philippine business groups joint the gov't in urging China to withdraw its vessels from a disputed reef in the South China Sea.
  • BSP is expected to release March foreign reserves data by the end of this week.

Fig. 1: Philippines Overseas Remittances Y/Y (%)

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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