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Pending Home Sales Beat But Subdued Trend Intact

US DATA
  • Pending home sales were stronger than expected in July, rising 0.9% M/M (cons -1.0%) after a minimally revised 0.4% (initial 0.3%).
  • The increase was led by the Wet (+6.2%) and less so South (+2.0%) whilst Northeast and Midwest sales declined. Note from the press release: “Interestingly, the West region experienced a meaningful price decline in the past year and buyers are quickly returning as a result".
  • Overall sales do little to change the trend of existing home sales seeing a meaningfully softer trend to that of new home sale, the latter seeing greater supply relative to available stock.
  • Pending sales are more than 25% below their 2019 average vs new home sales back above the pre-pandemic average.

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