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(M2) Corrective Bounce


(M2) Fails To Hold On To Recent Highs


(M2) Trend Needle Points South


(M2) Bearish Focus


(M2) Remains Below Resistance

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EGB SUMMARY: Periphery EGBs came off their lows and spreads narrowed over the
course of the afternoon, but remained much wider on the day amid continued
Italian political concerns and broader global geopolitical uncertainty.
- Italy 10-year BTP spreads over German Bunds had another volatile day, reaching
195.8bps this morning, up nearly 19bps, but came back to 190.7bps, up 13.8bps.
- Periphery spreads have come back down from the highs. Portugal and Spain
easily outperforming Italy, 10Y Bund spreads up 4.8bps and 4.0bps, respectively.
- Poor EMU macro data did little to lift sentiment. This morning, flash
composite PMIs at 18-month lows pointed to slowing growth in the eurozone in
Q218, and May consumer confidence data this afternoon was also weak.
- With such weak data, eurozone rates were bid. Euribor futures strip lagged the
global rates rally early on, but the long end has since surpassed the move in
Short Sterling and Eurodollars. Blue contracts are up by 7-8 ticks, Dec21 now at
99.24, set for the highest close since January.
- Against this backdrop, Bunds remain near their daily highs, having rocketed
higher this morning on risk aversion. Jun18 futures last up 76 ticks at 159.66.

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