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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI ASIA MARKETS OPEN: Tsy Curves Reverse Course Ahead Wed CPI
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS:Waiting For Next Inflation Shoe Drop
Key Inter-Meeting Fed Speak – Dec 2024
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PM Borne To Push Through Pension Reform w/Art. 49.3, No Assembly Vote
A number of French outlets reporting that Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne is set to use Article 49.3 of the French constitution to push through President Emmanuel Macron's controversial pension reforms. This will negate the requirement for a vote in the National Assembly, implying that the gov't was not sure that it could get a majority of lawmakers to vote in the plans' favour.
- The use of Art. 49.3 sees the Cabinet approve the plans without the requirement for passage in parliament (the Senate approved the plans earlier today, but it appears the gov't was set to fall short in the National Assembly). The opposition will now have the opportunity to put forward a motion of no confidence in the gov't within the next 24 hours. If this passes the gov't falls and the legislation is defeated.
- The gov't has used Art. 49.3 numerous times in the past year since Macron's centrist bloc lost its majority in the National Assembly, but using the measure for such controversial reforms risks a major backlash.
- The use of a measure criticised by opponents as anti-democratic could see an intensification in the already widespread industrial action taking place across French industry and the public sector. See our earlier note for more detail:
MNI POLITICAL RISK – French Pension Reform Vote On A Knife-Edge.pdf
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.