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PMIs Slide to Fresh Early 2020 Lows in October Flash

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY OCT FLASH SERVICES PMI 44.9 (= FCST); SEP 45.0

GERMANY OCT FLASH MANUFACTURING PMI 45.7 (FCST 47.0); SEP 47.8

GERMANY OCT FLASH COMPOSITE PMI 44.1 (FCST 45.5); SEP 45.7

  • German PMIs dipped further into contractive territory in the October flash data, with manufacturing seeing a steeper decline as new orders dropped. October saw the fourth consecutive month of contraction.
  • Highlights from the press release:
    • "Business activity fell for the fourth month running and at an accelerated rate, amid reports of the detrimental impact of high energy prices on both business costs and demand."
    • "Firms’ expectations remained deeply negative, reflecting concerns over persistently strong inflationary pressures, rising interest rates and the prospect of a recession."
    • "Manufacturing confidence fell notably."
    • "Further broad-based rise in employment as firms continued to fill vacancies. The rate of job creation even ticked up slightly."
    • "Rate of inflation remained historically elevated but ticked down from September’s three-month high."

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