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Political Risk Week Ahead September 21-27

by Tom Lake

All timings subject to change.

Monday 21 September:

  • Italy: Voting period ends for elections to seven of Italy's regional parliaments. The centre-left Democratic Party is fending off challenges from a coalition of centre-right and right-wing parties in four of the seven regions and is expected to lose control of several regional governments. Observers will be keen to see the reaction of the PD leadership at the national level should the party lose in key strongholds such as Tuscany and the Marches. At the same time voting ends in a nationwide constitutional referendum that asks voters whether the number of parliamentarians in the Chamber of Deputies and Senate should be reduced. Opinion polls point towards a comfortable majority of voters in favour of a reduction. Exit polls set to be released at 1500CET (1400BST, 0900ET) when polling stations close.
  • European Union: Commission President Ursula von der Leyen to meet with Parliament President David Sassoli and German Chancellor Angela Merkel in her role as chair of the rotating Presidency of the Council, via videoconference, to discuss the ongoing negotiations over the multiannual financial framework and its associated COVID-19 recovery package.
  • United States:Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) holds a leadership meeting at the Capitol before a conference lunch on Tuesday with Senate Republicans. McConnell is seeking to ensure a Republican nomination for the empty seat on the Supreme Court bench following the death of liberal justice Ruth Bader-Ginsburg over the weekend aged 87. An announcement for a potential replacement could come as soon as Tuesday.
  • United States: On the campaign trail, President Trump delivers speeches in Dayton and Swanton in the swing state of Ohio. Holds interview with Fox and Friends at 0800ET (1300BST, 1400CET). Democratic nominee Joe Biden to speak in Manitowoc, WI.
  • Japan:Public holiday to celebrate Respect for the Aged Day.
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