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DENMARK
The latest seat projections based on opinion polling ahead of the 1 November general election shows former Prime Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen's centrist Moderates set to emerge as kingmakers following the vote, with the potential to keep a centre-left coalition in power or bring a centre-right gov't to office.
- The seat projection shows that the Moderates could form a coalition alongside PM Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats, the Socialist People's Party, the Social Liberal Party, and the two Greenlandic members to hold a majority of 90 seats. This would not require the inclusion of the far-left Red-Green Alliance, with which the Moderates would likely find it difficult to work.
- Alternatively, if the Moderates and all the parties of the right (Venstre, Liberal Alliance, Conservative People's Party, Danish People's Party, New Right, Denmark Democrats) were to band together, they would hold 90 seats. This gov't would likely be a minority one, with the right-wing nationalist New Right, Denmark Democrats, and Danish People's Party potentially proving to extreme for the Moderates to work with in gov't.
Chart 1. Seat Projection Based on 27 Oct Voxmeter Opinion Poll
Source: Voxmeter, @electsworld
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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