Free Trial

Post-LIBOR Settle Update: 3M Benchmark New 16Y High

US EURODLR FUTURES

Lead quarterly Mar'23 (EDH3) pared gains to +0.0075 at 94.955 after 3M LIBOR set' climbs +0.02429 to new 16 year high of 4.90086% (+0.03143/wk).

  • Fed funds implied hike for Mar'23 steady at 26.1bp, May'23 cumulative 46.0bp to 5.042%, Jun'23 59.3bp to 5.175%, terminal at 5.22% in Aug'23.
  • Balance of Eurodollar Whites (EDM3-EDZ3) +0.020-0.055, Reds (EDH4-EDZ4) +0.075-0.070, Greens through Golds (EDH5-EDZ7) +0.065-0.020.
  • Current deferred spds vs. prior settles:
    • Jun'23/Sep'23: +0.065 vs. +0.080
    • Mar'23/Red Mar'24: -0.2125 vs. -0.1525
    • Jun'23/Red Jun'24: -0.985 vs. -0.930
  • Wednesday derivatives highlights: Pick-up in rate hike insurance positioning in late 2023 to 2024 Wednesday, strong Retail Sales green-lighting a longer period of rate hikes. For example: block/cross +46,000 OQM3 95.50 puts, 24.5 ref 95.765, 15,000 OQM3 94.50/95.12/95.75 put flys, 13.0 ref 95.83, 9,000 2QH3 96.50 puts, 15.5 ref 96.485.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.