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Powell Notes "Good Question" Of Where Longer-Run Rates Will Settle

FED

Powell on longer-run rates: "We will return to 2% inflation and maximum employment. What will be the level of interest rates there, that's a really good question...it's really hard to know [whether rates will settle at a higher level than we've known historically]."

  • Powell actually sounds pretty animated in answering this question - note that the some of the longer-run FOMC "dots" have been drifting up for a few meetings, so it's salient to the Fed's current thinking, particularly since they've started generating r-star estimates again.
  • Hopefully we get more on this in the June meeting minutes.

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