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Premier Li Still Sees Room In Policies To Cope With Economic and Market Challenges

CHINA
  • China Premier Li Keqiang reiterated that he sees room in policies to cope with the current economic and market challenges.
  • Officials are trying to boost confidence in markets with more and more analysts revising 2022 growth forecast significantly to the downside.
  • It seems that a 4% growth looks now much more realistic than the 5%-5.5% growth target (from China officials); and renewed estimates could easily be readjusted to the downside as market uncertainty remains elevated.
  • Even though China officials have been announcing a series of ‘positive’ measures for risky assets in recent weeks (cutting transactions fees, pause on tech crackdown…), domestic equities have remained vulnerable with Hang Seng index still down nearly 35% since its February 2021 high.
  • The chart below shows that the rebound in ‘liquidity’ has been pricing in higher tech stocks; however, we recently mentioned that it will be difficult to see China tech stocks trending higher while Nasdaq remains in a bear market.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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