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Pressured Ahead Of $1.10

AUDNZD

The cross printed its highest level since early November at $1.0994, before selling pressure saw AUD/NZD retreat ~1%.

  • The $1.10 handle remains the first target for bulls, a break through here opens up $1.1101, the 61.8% retracement of the Sep-Dec fall.
  • The 200-Day EMA ($1.0910) has provided support in recent sessions, a sustained break allows bears to target the 20-Day EMA at $1.0883.
  • In the swap space there the AU-NZ 2yr spread is now back to -116bps, with a minor improvement in the AUDs favour in recent dealing.
  • The RBA meeting on Tuesday provides the next macro risk event for the cross.

Fig 1: Swap Spread v Daily Spot

Source Market News International (MNI)/Bloomberg

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