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Price Signal Summary - Corrective Cycle In USDJPY

OUTLOOK
  • In FX, EURUSD traded higher Monday but failed to hold on to its gains. The trend is up, however, yesterday’s price action highlights a possible bearish threat. Monday is a shooting star candle pattern - a reversal signal. If correct, it suggests scope for a deeper short-term retracement that would open 1.0322, the 20-day EMA. Clearance of Monday’s high would cancel this threat and instead resume the uptrend and open 1.0615, the Jun 27 high.
  • GBPUSD trend conditions remain bullish and last week’s gains reinforce this condition - the break higher confirmed a resumption of the uptrend and price has cleared the 200-dma. The focus is on 1.2406, the Jun 16 high. Support to watch lies at 1.1935, the 20-day EMA.
  • The USDJPY trend condition remains bearish, however, the pair has entered a corrective cycle following the recovery from last Friday’s low. This is allowing an oversold trend condition to unwind. An extension higher would open 139.68, the 20-day EMA. This average is seen as the first key short-term resistance. The bear trigger is 133.63, the Dec 2 low. A break would confirm a resumption of the downtrend.

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