June 05, 2024 13:13 GMT
Price Signal Summary - USDBRL Bulls Remain In The Driver’s Seat
LATAM FX
- USDMXN has traded sharply this week, as the pair extends the reversal that started May 21. The rally this week cancels a recent bearish theme and has resulted in price trading through 17.5698, 61.8% of the Apr 19 - May 21 downleg. Note that 17.8159, the 76.4% retracement point, has also been cleared. This opens 18.2137, the Apr 19 high. Support to watch lies at 16.9048, the 20-day EMA. Initial support is Tuesday’s low of 17.5462.
- USDBRL bulls remain in the driver’s seat. This week’s bullish extension reinforces this theme. Yesterday’s gains resulted in a print above key resistance at 5.2869, the Apr 16 high and bull trigger. A clear break of this hurdle would confirm a resumption of the uptrend and open 5.3330, 76.4% of the Nov 17 ‘22 - Jul 28 ‘23 bear cycle. On the downside, initial support to watch lies at 5.1736, the 20-day EMA.
- A bear trend in USDCLP remains intact and recent bearish price action reinforces current conditions. The latest recovery appears to be a correction - for now. The 20-day EMA has been pierced. The next Important resistance is seen at 928.69, the 50-day EMA. For bears, the break in early May of support at 935.63, the Mar 15 low, marked an important technical breach and highlighted a stronger reversal. 886.96, the 76.4% retracement of the Dec 1 ‘23 - Feb 26 bull leg, has been pierced. A clear break would open 870.45, the Dec 29 low.
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