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Price Signal Summary - USDJPY Continues To Trade Just Below The Trend High

OUTLOOK
  • In FX, EURUSD trend conditions remain bearish. The reversal lower from 1.0640, the Oct 12 high, suggests the end of the recent corrective cycle. Attention is on 1.0448, the Oct 3 low and a bear trigger. Clearance of this level would confirm a resumption of the downtrend and open 1.0406, 50.0% of the Sep ‘22 - Jul ‘23 bull leg. On the upside, a break of 1.0640, the Oct 12 high, would instead signal scope for a stronger correction.
  • GBPUSD trend conditions remain bearish. The pair is trading below last week’s high and a resumption of weakness would refocus attention on support and the bear trigger at 1.2037, the Oct 4 low. Clearance of this level would confirm a resumption of the downtrend that started in July and open 1.1964, a 3.00 projection of the Jul 14 - 24 - 27 price swing. For bulls, a break of 1.2337, the Oct 11 high, would signal scope for a stronger corrective phase.
  • USDJPY continues to trade closer to its recent highs. The trend outlook remains bullish and yesterday’s short-lived pullback found support at the 20-day EMA. Attention is on the 150.00 handle and the recent 150.16 high (Oct 3). A clear break of 150.00 would reinforce bullish conditions and open 150.40, a 2.618 projection of the Jan 16 - Mar 8 - Mar 24 price swing. On the downside, clearance of 147.43, the Oct 3 low, would be seen as an important bearish development.

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