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Price Signal Summary - USDJPY Resumes Its Primary Uptrend

MARKET INSIGHT
  • In the equity space, S&P E-Minis remain bearish despite a recovery from yesterday’s low of 4375.50. The contract has recently breached the 50-day EMA, which intersects at 4452.17 and this reinforces a bearish threat. The move below 4400.00 signals scope for weakness towards 4362.63 next, 50.0% of the Feb 24 - Mar 29 rally. EUROSTOXX 50 futures are consolidating. The contract traded lower yesterday and remains bearish. Price has recently moved below the 20- and 50-day EMAs and breached support at 3735.00, Mar 18 low. This opens 3626.50, 50.0% of the Mar 7 - 29 rally.
  • In FX, EURUSD remains vulnerable and is inching towards key support. The recent failure at 1.1185, Mar 31 high, highlights a bearish threat and attention is on 1.0806, the Mar 7 low and a bear trigger. A break would confirm a resumption of the primary downtrend and open 1.0767, the May 7 2020 low. The GBPUSD outlook remains bearish and support at 1.3000, Mar 15 low, remains under pressure. The focus is on 1.2954, 1.764 projection of the Jan 13 - 27 - Feb 10 price swing. Resistance is at 1.3114, the 20-day EMA. USDJPY maintains its firmer tone and has this morning resumed its uptrend and traded to a fresh cycle high. The pair has also cleared the 126.00 handle. The focus is on 126.71, 3.50 projection of the Dec 3 ‘21 - Jan 4 -24 price swing.
  • On the commodity front, Gold has traded higher this week and has breached resistance at $1966.1, Mar 24 high. This highlights a range breakout and suggests scope for an extension of short-term gains. The focus is on $1980.3 initially, 50.0% retracement of the Mar 8 - 29 downleg. In the Oil space, WTI futures remain bearish despite yesterday’s gains. The print below the 50-day EMA suggests scope for a continuation lower and attention is on the next key support at $92.20, Mar 15 low. Initial firm resistance has been defined at $105.59, the Apr 5 high.
  • Trend conditions in the FI space remain bearish. Bund futures traded lower once again Tuesday, confirming a resumption of the primary downtrend. The next objective is the 154.00 handle. Gilts remain in a downtrend. The focus is on 118.05, 0.618 projection of the Mar 1 - 28 - Apr 4 price swing.

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