Prospects of a Brexit deal being agreed to by....>

UK: Prospects of a Brexit deal being agreed to by the end of the European

Council summit tomorrow have declined rapidly following the DUP's statement that

they will not support the deal in its current form.

- Yesterday evening many pundits reported DUP were happy with customs and

consent arrangements, with VAT the only remaining hurdle. Statement this morning

scotches those reports, with DUP stating they can't agree with either customs

nor consent mechanisms.

- Without the DUP's support the gov't will be reluctant to bring any deal to the

Commons in a special Saturday sitting, as they are unlikely to have the numbers

to get it through in that scenario.

- The UK gov't stating that it will continue to work with the DUP to try to get

a deal agreed to, with the EU, Dublin and Westminster all seemingly happy with

the deal hashed out in recent days, with the DUP the only remaining hurdle. 

- Figures from betdata.io (compiling Betfair betting odds) shows decline in

belief UK will leave EU on/before 31 Oct, falling to a 17% probability from 26%

yesterday.