Free Trial

Q: Where do you see growth tailwinds coming.....>

BOE
BOE: Q: Where do you see growth tailwinds coming from?
- A: If you have relatively modest supply growth (the BoE's forecast), if we get
that recovery the economy hits 0.75% excess demand, inflation above target,
"world moves on" and prospect of tightening further out exists.
- Q: When [Carney] took over the bank, if you'd been told normalising rates
would be so slow, would you have been surprised?
- A: Yes. If you look back at Bank of Canada speeches, his view then was that
equilibrium rates would not be as low as they turned out to be. UK equilibrium
rate is lower than global equilibrium rate given UK domestic uncertainty and
sustained fiscal consolidation. This should ease given fiscal spending round and
whether uncertainty recedes as per evidence in surveys. If this uncertainty
reduction is sustained, this could push equilibrium rates on the margin.
Revealed outturns on inflation in the UK and overseas validate view that
equilibrium rates have fallen substantially.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.